Thursday, February 21, 2008

Musharraf has Nine Lives ?

Musharraf has Nine Lives ?
Mush's best option is to concede defeat: Experts

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New Delhi: Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf has been routed in the general elections by the PPP and the PML-N.
However, he is unlikely to give up without a fight and may try to break the budding Zardari-Sharif alliance. Experts believe this is one fight Musharraf cannot win.
Described often by friends and detractors alike as an elephant with nine lives, Musharraf may need all the luck and leverage he can muster up.
The single largest party, the PPP, blames him for the killing of Benazir, and the PML of Nawaz Sharif wants to impeach him.
“More likely that there will be a no-confidence motion. Impeachment is more unlikely. Two-thirds majority is needed for that, and neither party has it,” said Pakistan Affairs Analyst Sushant Sareen. “For impeachment, PML-Q will have to vapourise.”

For Musharraf, the best scenario would be an alliance between Zardari, the PML-Q and the MQM. However, such a move could prove politically unpopular for the PPP. Zardari would also have to deal with a hostile Punjab controlled by Nawaz Sharif.
For the record, Zardari says he wants the new Parliament to decide on Musharraf's fate.
“The best option would be for Musharraf to go on TV, conceding defeat, accepting the verdict, stepping down for the new Parliament to choose the new President,” said Sareen.
The pugnacious president, however, has not lasted in power for eight years by running away from a fight. He may hang on till the last bullet is fired.

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